Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Maya Piecyk
Author-Name: Alan McKinnon
Title: APPLICATION OF THE DELPHI METHOD TO THE FORECASTING OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN ROAD FREIGHT, LOGISTICS AND RELATED CO2 EMISSIONS
Abstract: A Delphi survey is a popular forecasting technique that can be applied to a wide range of research problems and disciplines. It is particularly useful in mid- and long-term forecasting. This
paper reviews applications of the method to the field of freight transport and logistics and assesses the usefulness of Delphi-derived predictions of long-term freight and associated environmental
trends. It presents, as a case study, the experience of a large two-round Delphi survey undertaken in the UK to elicit projections of long-term trends in a number of road freight and logistics variables.
These projections were then used to model UK road freight-related CO2 emissions up to 2020.
Volume: 40
Issue: 2
Year: 2013
Handle: RePEc:jte:journl:2013:2:40:5